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Sat Sep 30 5:45 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 8 of 41

Toulouse What If?

The Toulouse What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Toulouse What If?

Next Game - Metz (2‑2‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 2 2 3 9 <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 9% 13%
Current Standings 1 2 3 6 <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 16%
Lose Next Game 1 3 3 6 <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 11% 11% 19%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
28 of 28 100% 29 2 3 90 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 26 5 3 81 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 25 6 3 78 77% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 24 7 3 75 58% 36% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 23 8 3 72 37% 46% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 22 9 3 69 18% 43% 31% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 21 10 3 66 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 28 68% 20 11 3 63 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 28 64% 19 12 3 60 <1% 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 28 61% 18 13 3 57 <1% <1% 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
16 of 28 57% 17 14 3 54 <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 27% 32% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 28 54% 16 15 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 28 50% 15 16 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 28 46% 14 17 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 28 43% 13 18 3 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 28 39% 12 19 3 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% <1% <1%
10 of 28 36% 11 20 3 36 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 35% 18% 4% <1%
9 of 28 32% 10 21 3 33 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
8 of 28 29% 9 22 3 30 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 34% 36% 16%
7 of 28 25% 8 23 3 27 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 17% 40% 40%
6 of 28 21% 7 24 3 24 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 26% 69%
5 of 28 18% 6 25 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 89%
0 of 28 0% 1 30 3 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers