The Toulouse What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Montpellier beats Nice |
Worst Case Scenario Nice beats Montpellier |
||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 20 of 20 | 100% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 79% | 20% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 20 | 95% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 57% | 42% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 20 | 90% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 31% | 59% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 20 | 85% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 12% | 56% | 29% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 20 | 80% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 3% | 32% | 45% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 20 | 75% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | <1% | 11% | 36% | 37% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 20 | 70% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 35% | 34% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 20 | 65% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 35% | 34% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 20 | 60% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 35% | 35% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 20 | 55% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 38% | 35% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 20 | 50% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 41% | 32% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 9 of 20 | 45% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 40% | 30% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 20 | 40% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 39% | 29% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 20 | 35% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 38% | 29% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 20 | 30% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 37% | 31% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 20 | 25% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 38% | 32% | 9% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 20 | 20% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 41% | 32% | 6% | <1% |
| 3 of 20 | 15% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 48% | 25% | 4% |
| 2 of 20 | 10% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 30% | 47% | 19% |
| 1 of 20 | 5% | 7 | 24 | 3 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 38% | 54% |
| 0 of 20 | 0% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 87% |