The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ball State (4‑9) vs Buffalo (12‑2) |
5 | Ball State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Bowling Green (10‑4) vs UMass (9‑5) |
0 | Bowling Green Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| UMass Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Akron (10‑3) vs Miami OH (14‑0) |
0 | Akron Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Ohio (7‑7) vs Eastern Michigan (7‑7) |
0 | Ohio Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Toledo (7‑6) vs Central Michigan (4‑10) |
0 | Toledo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Kent State (10‑4) vs Northern Illinois (5‑7) |
0 | Kent State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% | ||