The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ohio (15‑14) vs UMass (15‑15) |
33 | Ohio Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 34% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 18% | 80% | ||
| UMass Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 95% | ||
| Ball State (10‑19) vs Western Michigan (10‑19) |
17 | Ball State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 25% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 18% | 80% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 13% | 87% | ||
| Akron (24‑5) vs Central Michigan (10‑19) |
6 | Akron Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 19% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 18% | 80% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 11% | 85% | ||
| Buffalo (16‑13) vs Eastern Michigan (10‑19) |
1 | Buffalo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 20% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 18% | 80% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 12% | 81% | ||
| Northern Illinois (9‑19) vs Kent State (21‑8) |
0 | Northern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 18% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 18% | 80% | ||
| Kent State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 18% | 80% | ||
| Miami OH (29‑0) vs Toledo (16‑13) |
0 | Miami OH Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 18% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 18% | 80% | ||
| Toledo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 18% | 80% | ||