The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ball State (4‑10) vs Eastern Michigan (7‑8) |
5 | Ball State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Toledo (8‑6) vs Northern Illinois (5‑8) |
0 | Toledo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Miami OH (15‑0) vs Western Michigan (6‑8) |
0 | Miami OH Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Central Michigan (4‑11) vs Akron (10‑4) |
0 | Central Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Akron Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Kent State (11‑4) vs Bowling Green (11‑4) |
0 | Kent State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Ohio (8‑7) vs UMass (9‑6) |
0 | Ohio Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| UMass Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||