The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ball State (4‑6) vs Kent State (7‑3) |
11 | Ball State Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Kent State Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Miami OH (5‑3) vs Buffalo (5‑5) |
1 | Miami OH Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 58% | ||
| Akron (6‑2) vs Bowling Green (4‑6) |
1 | Akron Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 58% | ||
| Eastern Michigan (5‑4) vs Northern Illinois (3‑7) |
1 | Eastern Michigan Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Toledo (6‑4) vs Western Michigan (3‑6) |
0 | Toledo Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 58% | ||
| Central Michigan (5‑4) vs Ohio (4‑6) |
0 | Central Michigan Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Ohio Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 58% | ||