The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ball State (3‑8) vs Miami OH (11‑0) |
4 | Ball State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Kent State (9‑3) vs UMass (8‑3) |
0 | Kent State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| UMass Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Western Michigan (5‑6) vs Buffalo (9‑2) |
0 | Western Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Akron (8‑3) vs Eastern Michigan (6‑5) |
0 | Akron Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Central Michigan (4‑7) vs Northern Illinois (4‑6) |
0 | Central Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Ohio (5‑6) vs Bowling Green (8‑3) |
0 | Ohio Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||