PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jan 28 11:15 pm

MAC Basketball - Week 13 of 17

Kent State What If?

The Kent State Golden Flashes What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Kent State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Kent State What If?

Next Game - Central Michigan (8‑13)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 11 12
Win Next Game 8 1 67% 22% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 7 1 66% 22% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 7 2 49% 29% 14% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 11 12
Best Case Scenario 67% 22% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 66% 22% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 49% 29% 14% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Kent State beats Central Michigan
Worst Case Scenario
   Central Michigan beats Kent State
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 11 12
10 of 10 100% 17 1 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 16 2 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 15 3 91% 9% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 10 70% 14 4 60% 38% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 10 60% 13 5 21% 58% 20% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 10 50% 12 6 2% 29% 49% 18% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 10 40% 11 7 <1% 3% 27% 44% 22% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 10 30% 10 8 <1% <1% 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
2 of 10 20% 9 9 X X <1% 1% 12% 35% 37% 14% 1% <1% ^ ^
1 of 10 10% 8 10 X X X <1% <1% 5% 29% 45% 19% 2% <1% <1%
0 of 10 0% 7 11 X X X X X <1% 3% 29% 46% 21% 2% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament