The Most Important Games for the Marist Red Foxes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Foxes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marist Red Foxes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Marist (12‑5) vs Merrimack (11‑8) |
5 | Marist Wins | 30% | 23% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | 13% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Peter's (10‑6) vs Iona (12‑7) |
1 | St. Peter's Wins | 23% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iona Wins | 27% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Niagara (5‑12) vs Mount St. Mary's (7‑12) |
1 | Niagara Wins | 25% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 24% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac (12‑7) vs Manhattan (8‑12) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | 24% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | 26% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Siena (12‑7) vs Fairfield (11‑8) |
0 | Siena Wins | 24% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 25% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rider (2‑15) vs Sacred Heart (6‑13) |
0 | Rider Wins | 24% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 24% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||