The Most Important Games for the Marist Red Foxes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Foxes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marist Red Foxes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Marist (6‑2) vs Iona (3‑8) |
6 | Marist Wins | 41% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Iona Wins | 30% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Merrimack (4‑6) vs Fairfield (5‑5) |
1 | Merrimack Wins | 39% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 39% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Canisius (0‑10) vs Sacred Heart (4‑6) |
1 | Canisius Wins | 39% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 39% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Siena (5‑5) vs Manhattan (4‑5) |
0 | Siena Wins | 40% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | 40% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| St. Peter's (4‑5) vs Quinnipiac (5‑5) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | 39% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 38% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Niagara (4‑6) vs Mount St. Mary's (6‑4) |
0 | Niagara Wins | 40% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 38% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||