The Most Important Games for the Marist Red Foxes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Foxes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marist Red Foxes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Marist (16‑8) vs Merrimack (16‑9) |
1 | Marist Wins | 3% | 16% | 28% | 30% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Merrimack Wins | <1% | 3% | 16% | 31% | 39% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Canisius (8‑17) vs Iona (14‑11) |
1 | Canisius Wins | 1% | 9% | 21% | 30% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Iona Wins | 2% | 9% | 21% | 31% | 30% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| St. Peter's (14‑8) vs Sacred Heart (10‑16) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | 1% | 7% | 21% | 31% | 32% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 2% | 12% | 20% | 28% | 29% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Rider (3‑20) vs Mount St. Mary's (11‑15) |
0 | Rider Wins | 2% | 9% | 21% | 30% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 1% | 9% | 21% | 30% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Quinnipiac (17‑9) vs Siena (17‑8) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | 2% | 9% | 20% | 26% | 35% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Siena Wins | 2% | 9% | 21% | 32% | 29% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Niagara (6‑18) vs Manhattan (10‑16) |
0 | Niagara Wins | 2% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Manhattan Wins | 1% | 9% | 21% | 30% | 31% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||