The Most Important Games for the Niagara Purple Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Purple Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Niagara Purple Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Niagara Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Niagara (4‑10) vs Iona (10‑6) |
17 | Niagara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 62% | ||
| Iona Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 65% | ||
| Marist (9‑5) vs Sacred Heart (5‑11) |
2 | Marist Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 62% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 65% | ||
| St. Peter's (7‑5) vs Mount St. Mary's (5‑11) |
2 | St. Peter's Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 62% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 64% | ||
| Rider (1‑12) vs Fairfield (9‑7) |
2 | Rider Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 62% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 63% | ||
| Manhattan (7‑9) vs Canisius (7‑8) |
0 | Manhattan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 62% | ||
| Canisius Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 63% | ||
| Merrimack (9‑7) vs Siena (10‑5) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 62% | ||
| Siena Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 64% | ||