The Most Important Games for the Niagara Purple Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Purple Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Niagara Purple Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Niagara Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Niagara (5‑6) vs Mount St. Mary's (6‑5) |
18 | Niagara Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 20% | ||
| Canisius (0‑11) vs Sacred Heart (4‑6) |
2 | Canisius Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Marist (6‑2) vs Iona (3‑8) |
2 | Marist Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Iona Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 19% | ||
| Siena (5‑5) vs Manhattan (4‑5) |
1 | Siena Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 19% | ||
| St. Peter's (4‑5) vs Quinnipiac (5‑5) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Merrimack (5‑6) vs Fairfield (5‑5) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||