The Most Important Games for the Illinois St. Redbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Redbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois St. Redbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Illinois St. (8‑14) vs Southern Illinois (17‑5) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 41% | 32% | 13% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 2% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 32% | 37% | 24% | 2% | ||
| UIC (9‑13) vs Bradley (14‑8) |
0 | UIC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 31% | 33% | 27% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 2% | ||
| Bradley Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 35% | 35% | 20% | 2% | ||
| Valparaiso (8‑13) vs Evansville (3‑18) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 32% | 37% | 23% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 2% | ||
| Evansville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 40% | 30% | 19% | 3% | ||
| Indiana St. (13‑9) vs Northern Iowa (12‑9) |
0 | Indiana St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 2% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 33% | 35% | 23% | 2% | ||
| Drake (16‑6) vs Belmont (15‑6) |
0 | Drake Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 2% | ||
| Belmont Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 2% | ||
| Murray State (11‑10) vs Missouri St. (11‑10) |
0 | Murray State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 35% | 35% | 22% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 2% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 34% | 35% | 21% | 2% | ||