The Most Important Games for the Illinois St. Redbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Redbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois St. Redbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Illinois St. (5‑4) vs UIC (6‑4) |
7 | Illinois St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| UIC Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Missouri St. (5‑5) vs Evansville (3‑7) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Evansville Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Indiana St. (6‑4) vs Murray State (6‑3) |
0 | Indiana St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Murray State Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Drake (9‑0) vs Belmont (9‑2) |
0 | Drake Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Southern Illinois (5‑6) vs Northern Iowa (6‑4) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Bradley (8‑2) vs Valparaiso (5‑4) |
0 | Bradley Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||