The Most Important Games for the Northern Iowa Panthers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Panthers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Iowa Panthers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Iowa Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Northern Iowa (5‑4) vs Southern Illinois (4‑6) |
8 | Northern Iowa Wins | 5% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Indiana St. (6‑4) vs Murray State (6‑2) |
1 | Indiana St. Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Murray State Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| UIC (6‑4) vs Illinois St. (5‑4) |
1 | UIC Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Evansville (3‑6) vs Missouri St. (5‑4) |
1 | Evansville Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Valparaiso (4‑4) vs Bradley (8‑1) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Drake (8‑0) vs Belmont (8‑2) |
0 | Drake Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||