The Most Important Games for the UIC Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UIC Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UIC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| UIC (6‑4) vs Illinois St. (5‑4) |
6 | UIC Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | ||
| Evansville (3‑7) vs Missouri St. (5‑4) |
1 | Evansville Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | ||
| Drake (9‑0) vs Belmont (8‑2) |
1 | Drake Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Southern Illinois (4‑6) vs Northern Iowa (6‑4) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Murray State (6‑2) vs Indiana St. (6‑4) |
0 | Murray State Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Valparaiso (4‑4) vs Bradley (8‑1) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||