The Most Important Games for the UIC Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UIC Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UIC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| UIC (8‑10) vs Drake (9‑9) |
12 | UIC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 7% | ||
| Drake Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 9% | ||
| Bradley (12‑6) vs Illinois St. (11‑6) |
1 | Bradley Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 7% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Belmont (16‑3) vs Southern Illinois (8‑10) |
1 | Belmont Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 7% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Valparaiso (8‑10) vs Northern Iowa (12‑6) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 7% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 6% | ||
| Murray State (15‑3) vs Indiana St. (9‑9) |
0 | Murray State Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 7% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 7% | ||