The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| UNLV (16‑14) vs San Diego St. (19‑10) |
0 | UNLV Wins | 35% | 48% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 25% | 5% | 70% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. (20‑10) vs Boise St. (19‑11) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| New Mexico (22‑8) vs Utah St. (24‑6) |
0 | New Mexico Wins | 82% | 10% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah St. Wins | X | 23% | 77% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San José State (8‑22) vs Wyoming (17‑13) |
0 | San José State Wins | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Grand Canyon (19‑11) vs Fresno St. (13‑17) |
0 | Grand Canyon Wins | 35% | 20% | 45% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | 11% | 13% | 76% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nevada (18‑11) vs Air Force (3‑27) |
0 | Nevada Wins | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Air Force Wins | 29% | 19% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||