The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| New Mexico (11‑3) vs Air Force (3‑12) |
12 | New Mexico Wins | 18% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Nevada (10‑4) vs Wyoming (11‑4) |
0 | Nevada Wins | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | <1% | <1% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Boise St. (9‑5) vs Grand Canyon (8‑4) |
0 | Boise St. Wins | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | <1% | <1% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Fresno St. (7‑7) vs San Diego St. (10‑4) |
0 | Fresno St. Wins | 18% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| UNLV (7‑7) vs Colorado St. (9‑5) |
0 | UNLV Wins | 17% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||