The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| New Mexico (9‑2) vs Boise St. (8‑4) |
11 | New Mexico Wins | 21% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 1% | <1% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Air Force (3‑9) vs Wyoming (9‑3) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Colorado St. (8‑3) vs Nevada (8‑3) |
1 | Colorado St. Wins | 19% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| San Diego St. (7‑4) vs San José State (5‑7) |
1 | San Diego St. Wins | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| San José State Wins | 1% | <1% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Utah St. (10‑1) vs Fresno St. (6‑5) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | 1% | <1% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||