PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Feb 2 2:00 am

Mountain West Basketball - Week 13 of 17

New Mexico Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

New Mexico Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6 7 8 9 10 11
Wyoming
(7‑14)

vs
San José State
(14‑8)
4 Wyoming Wins 6% 10% 15% 22% 36% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 6% 11% 15% 22% 33% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San José State Wins 6% 10% 15% 22% 33% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fresno St.
(7‑14)

vs
UNLV
(15‑7)
3 Fresno St. Wins 6% 11% 15% 22% 36% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 6% 11% 15% 22% 33% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UNLV Wins 6% 10% 15% 21% 33% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colorado St.
(10‑13)

vs
Utah St.
(18‑5)
1 Colorado St. Wins 7% 12% 16% 22% 30% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 6% 11% 15% 22% 33% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Utah St. Wins 5% 10% 14% 21% 35% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San Diego St.
(17‑5)

vs
Boise St.
(18‑5)
0 San Diego St. Wins 6% 11% 14% 22% 34% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 6% 11% 15% 22% 33% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Boise St. Wins 6% 11% 15% 21% 34% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Air Force
(12‑11)

vs
Nevada
(17‑6)
0 Air Force Wins 6% 13% 17% 20% 31% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 6% 11% 15% 22% 33% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nevada Wins 5% 10% 14% 22% 35% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament