The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Wyoming (7‑14) vs San José State (14‑8) |
4 | Wyoming Wins | 6% | 10% | 15% | 22% | 36% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 33% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State Wins | 6% | 10% | 15% | 22% | 33% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fresno St. (7‑14) vs UNLV (15‑7) |
3 | Fresno St. Wins | 6% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 36% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 33% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 33% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (10‑13) vs Utah St. (18‑5) |
1 | Colorado St. Wins | 7% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 30% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 33% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 5% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 35% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego St. (17‑5) vs Boise St. (18‑5) |
0 | San Diego St. Wins | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 34% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 33% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 6% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 34% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (12‑11) vs Nevada (17‑6) |
0 | Air Force Wins | 6% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 31% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 33% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 5% | 10% | 14% | 22% | 35% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||