PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Nov 30 4:00 am

Mountain West Basketball - Week 4 of 18

New Mexico Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

New Mexico Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6 7 8 9 10 11
New Mexico
(6‑1)

vs
Colorado St.
(7‑0)
9 New Mexico Wins 16% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 5% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Colorado St. Wins 7% 11% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Air Force
(6‑2)

vs
Utah St.
(5‑1)
1 Air Force Wins 11% 12% 11% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Utah St. Wins 11% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2%
Fresno St.
(3‑3)

vs
San Diego St.
(6‑1)
1 Fresno St. Wins 11% 13% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
San Diego St. Wins 11% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
San José State
(5‑3)

vs
Wyoming
(4‑2)
0 San José State Wins 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Wyoming Wins 11% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament