The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Nevada (7‑2) vs Colorado St. (5‑4) |
2 | Nevada Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Fresno St. (3‑7) vs UNLV (4‑4) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. (9‑0) vs San Diego St. (7‑2) |
1 | Utah St. Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (3‑7) vs Boise St. (6‑3) |
0 | Air Force Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||