The San José State Spartans What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how San José State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 1 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 14% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 20% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 21% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 24% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 20% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 19% |
|
Best Case Scenario Air Force beats Boise St. Fresno St. beats UNLV |
Worst Case Scenario Boise St. beats Air Force UNLV beats Fresno St. |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | ||
| 19 of 19 | 100% | 19 | 1 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 19 | 95% | 18 | 2 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 19 | 89% | 17 | 3 | 88% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 19 | 84% | 16 | 4 | 63% | 35% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 19 | 79% | 15 | 5 | 30% | 52% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 19 | 74% | 14 | 6 | 8% | 40% | 41% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 19 | 68% | 13 | 7 | 1% | 13% | 42% | 35% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 19 | 63% | 12 | 8 | <1% | 2% | 17% | 43% | 32% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 19 | 58% | 11 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 44% | 29% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 19 | 53% | 10 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 23% | 44% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 9 of 19 | 47% | 9 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 28% | 44% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 19 | 42% | 8 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 34% | 42% | 15% | 1% | <1% |
| 7 of 19 | 37% | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 11% | 40% | 39% | 10% | 1% |
| 6 of 19 | 32% | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 17% | 47% | 31% | 4% |
| 5 of 19 | 26% | 5 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 28% | 51% | 19% |
| 4 of 19 | 21% | 4 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 47% | 46% |
| 3 of 19 | 16% | 3 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 23% | 77% |
| 2 of 19 | 11% | 2 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 95% |
| 1 of 19 | 5% | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 19 | 0% | 0 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |