The Boise State Broncos What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Boise State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 16% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 12% |
Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 16% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 16% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 10% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 20% |
Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
Best Case Scenario | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 15% |
Current Standings | 16% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 16% |
Worst Case Scenario | 15% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 16% |
Best Case Scenario San Diego State beats Air Force |
Worst Case Scenario Air Force beats San Diego State |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ||
7 of 7 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 7 | 86% | 7 | 1 | 85% | 15% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 7 | 71% | 6 | 2 | 35% | 49% | 15% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
4 of 7 | 57% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 29% | 43% | 20% | 3% | <1% |
3 of 7 | 43% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 23% | 43% | 26% | 4% |
2 of 7 | 29% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 49% | 27% |
1 of 7 | 14% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 27% | 71% |
0 of 7 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |