The Boise State Broncos What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Boise State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 16% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 12% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 16% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 16% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 10% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 20% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 15% |
| Current Standings | 16% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 16% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 15% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 16% |
|
Best Case Scenario San Diego State beats Air Force |
Worst Case Scenario Air Force beats San Diego State |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 7 | 1 | 85% | 15% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 6 | 2 | 35% | 49% | 15% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 29% | 43% | 20% | 3% | <1% |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 23% | 43% | 26% | 4% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 49% | 27% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 27% | 71% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |