The Colorado St. Rams What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Colorado St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 16% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 9% |
Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 20% |
Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 27% |
Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
Best Case Scenario | 14% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 20% |
Current Standings | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 20% |
Worst Case Scenario | 13% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 20% |
Best Case Scenario San Diego State beats Air Force |
Worst Case Scenario Air Force beats San Diego State |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ||
8 of 8 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 99% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 8 | 88% | 7 | 1 | 80% | 18% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 8 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 30% | 49% | 19% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
5 of 8 | 63% | 5 | 3 | 4% | 27% | 44% | 23% | 3% | <1% |
4 of 8 | 50% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 3% | 23% | 43% | 26% | 4% |
3 of 8 | 38% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 23% | 49% | 25% |
2 of 8 | 25% | 2 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 34% | 63% |
1 of 8 | 13% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | <1% | 10% | 90% |
0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% |