The Colorado St. Rams What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Colorado St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 24% | 25% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 21% | 22% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 6% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
Best Case Scenario | 26% | 30% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 21% | 22% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Colorado St. beats New Mexico San José State beats Fresno State |
Worst Case Scenario New Mexico beats Colorado St. Fresno State beats San José State |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
5 of 5 | 100% | 7 | 0 | 75% | 25% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 5 | 80% | 6 | 1 | 26% | 51% | 20% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 5 | 60% | 5 | 2 | 2% | 19% | 38% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 5 | 40% | 4 | 3 | X | <1% | 3% | 16% | 33% | 32% | 14% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 5 | 20% | 3 | 4 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 35% | 29% | 6% | <1% | ^ |
0 of 5 | 0% | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 13% | 51% | 35% | 1% |