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Sun Oct 26 6:15 am

Mountain West Football - Week 10 of 14

Nevada Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Nevada Wolf Pack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolf Pack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nevada Wolf Pack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Nevada Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Nevada Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
UNLV
(6‑1)

vs
New Mexico
(5‑3)
0 UNLV Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 20% 63%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 19% 63%
New Mexico Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 20% 63%
Boise State
(6‑2)

vs
Fresno State
(5‑3)
0 Boise State Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 19% 63%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 19% 63%
Fresno State Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 19% 63%
San Diego State
(6‑1)

vs
Wyoming
(4‑4)
0 San Diego State Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 19% 63%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 19% 63%
Wyoming Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 21% 63%
San José State
(2‑5)

vs
Hawaii
(6‑2)
0 San José State Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 16% 69%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 19% 63%
Hawaii Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 20% 61%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant