The Nevada Wolf Pack What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Nevada plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 5% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 26% | 19% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 1% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 27% | 36% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 1% | 4% | 10% | 20% | 28% | 37% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 5% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 26% | 19% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 27% | 36% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 4% | 10% | 20% | 28% | 37% |
|
Best Case Scenario Nevada beats Fresno State |
Worst Case Scenario Fresno State beats Nevada |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 7 | 1 | 91% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 54% | 41% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 5 | 3 | 17% | 46% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 | 4 | 2% | 19% | 43% | 31% | 6% | <1% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 3 | 5 | <1% | 2% | 18% | 45% | 30% | 5% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 | 6 | X | <1% | 1% | 17% | 51% | 30% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | 1% | 27% | 72% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | 6% | 94% |