The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| New Mexico (3‑3) vs Nevada (1‑5) |
3 | New Mexico Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Nevada Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 23% | ||
| Colorado St. (2‑4) vs Hawaii (5‑2) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Hawaii Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Air Force (1‑5) vs Wyoming (3‑3) |
0 | Air Force Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | ||
| UNLV (6‑0) vs Boise State (4‑2) |
0 | UNLV Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Boise State Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Utah St. (3‑3) vs San José State (2‑4) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | ||
| San José State Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | ||