The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| New Mexico (6‑1) vs San José State (4‑4) |
20 | New Mexico Wins | 56% | 19% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 18% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State Wins | 37% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Illinois (0‑7) vs UNLV (4‑3) |
2 | Northern Illinois Wins | 54% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 18% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 50% | 18% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UTEP (1‑6) vs North Dakota St. (6‑2) |
1 | UTEP Wins | 48% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 18% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Dakota St. Wins | 49% | 18% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||