The New Mexico Lobos What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how New Mexico plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 0 | 64% | 26% | 6% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 5 | 0 | 60% | 22% | 9% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 1 | 51% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 60% | 40% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 60% | 22% | 9% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 48% | 13% | 23% | 6% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario San José State beats Air Force New Mexico beats UNLV Wyoming beats UTEP |
Worst Case Scenario Air Force beats San José State UNLV beats New Mexico UTEP beats Wyoming |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 7 | 1 | 74% | 26% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 6 | 2 | 19% | 38% | 30% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 5 | 3 | X | 1% | 6% | 33% | 53% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |