The Wyoming Cowboys What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Wyoming plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 32% | 15% | 41% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 17% | 10% | 25% | 24% | 17% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 2 | 3% | 9% | 19% | 34% | 24% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 17% | 12% | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 17% | 10% | 25% | 24% | 17% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 16% | 10% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Northern Illinois beats UNLV |
Worst Case Scenario UNLV beats Northern Illinois |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 6 | 2 | 13% | 31% | 46% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 2% | 26% | 47% | 21% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 47% | 37% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ |