PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Dec 9 11:45 am

NCHC Hockey - Week 11 of 23

Denver What If?

The Denver Pioneers What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Denver plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Denver What If?

Next Game - Colorado College (9‑4‑1)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8 9
Win Next Game 3 1 0 3 11 18% 32% 23% 14% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 2 1 0 3 8 15% 29% 22% 16% 10% 5% 2% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 2 1 0 4 8 9% 26% 24% 19% 13% 7% 2% <1% <1%


Current Series - Colorado College (9‑4‑1) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8 9
Denver Sweeps 3 1 0 3 11 18% 32% 23% 14% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 2 1 0 3 8 15% 29% 22% 16% 10% 5% 2% <1% <1%
Colorado College Sweeps 2 1 0 4 8 9% 26% 24% 19% 13% 7% 2% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8 9
Current Standings 15% 29% 22% 16% 10% 5% 2% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
None
Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8 9
18 of 18 100% 20 1 0 3 62 90% 10% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 18 94% 19 1 0 4 59 75% 25% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 18 89% 18 1 0 5 56 54% 45% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 18 83% 17 1 0 6 53 32% 61% 8% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 18 78% 16 1 0 7 50 12% 61% 26% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 18 72% 15 1 0 8 47 2% 39% 50% 9% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
12 of 18 67% 14 1 0 9 44 <1% 12% 49% 34% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^
11 of 18 61% 13 1 0 10 41 <1% 1% 22% 51% 24% 2% <1% ^ ^
10 of 18 56% 12 1 0 11 38 <1% <1% 4% 31% 48% 16% 1% <1% ^
9 of 18 50% 11 1 0 12 35 X <1% <1% 8% 41% 43% 8% <1% <1%
8 of 18 44% 10 1 0 13 32 X X <1% 1% 15% 52% 30% 2% <1%
7 of 18 39% 9 1 0 14 29 X X <1% <1% 3% 32% 55% 10% <1%
6 of 18 33% 8 1 0 15 26 X X X <1% <1% 11% 60% 28% <1%
5 of 18 28% 7 1 0 16 23 X X X X <1% 2% 44% 53% 1%
4 of 18 22% 6 1 0 17 20 X X X X X <1% 21% 72% 6%
3 of 18 17% 5 1 0 18 17 X X X X X <1% 4% 71% 25%
2 of 18 11% 4 1 0 19 14 X X X X X X <1% 39% 61%
1 of 18 6% 3 1 0 20 11 X X X X X X X 5% 95%
0 of 18 0% 2 1 0 21 8 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye and second round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament