The Minnesota-Duluth Bulldogs What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Minnesota-Duluth plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 23% | 57% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 20% | 64% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 68% | 2% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Minnesota-Duluth Sweeps | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 26% | 49% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 20% | 64% | 2% |
| St. Cloud State Sweeps | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 18% | 71% | 3% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 24% | 56% | 1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 20% | 64% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 72% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario Minnesota-Duluth beats St. Cloud State Colorado College beats Nebraska-Omaha North Dakota beats Arizona St. |
Worst Case Scenario St. Cloud State beats Minnesota-Duluth Nebraska-Omaha beats Colorado College Arizona St. beats North Dakota |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | ||
| 16 of 16 | 100% | 18 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 55 | 59% | 41% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 16 | 94% | 17 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 52 | 38% | 58% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 16 | 88% | 16 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 49 | 16% | 62% | 21% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 16 | 81% | 15 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 3% | 38% | 50% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 16 | 75% | 14 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 43 | <1% | 10% | 47% | 37% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 16 | 69% | 13 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | <1% | 1% | 15% | 48% | 33% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 16 | 63% | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 49% | 29% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| 9 of 16 | 56% | 11 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 22% | 50% | 25% | 2% | <1% |
| 8 of 16 | 50% | 10 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 31 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 30% | 53% | 14% | <1% |
| 7 of 16 | 44% | 9 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 28 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 51% | 42% | <1% |
| 6 of 16 | 38% | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 29% | 71% | <1% |
| 5 of 16 | 31% | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 11% | 89% | <1% |
| 4 of 16 | 25% | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 96% | 1% |
| 3 of 16 | 19% | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 96% | 4% |
| 2 of 16 | 13% | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 85% | 15% |
| 1 of 16 | 6% | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 62% | 38% |
| 0 of 16 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 24% | 76% |