The Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Nebraska-Omaha plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 28% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 32% | 16% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 34% | 18% | <1% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Nebraska-Omaha Sweeps | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 24% | 22% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 32% | 16% | <1% |
| Colorado College Sweeps | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 23% | 38% | 20% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 32% | 15% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 32% | 16% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 21% | 33% | 17% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario St. Cloud State beats North Dakota Colorado College beats Denver |
Worst Case Scenario North Dakota beats St. Cloud State Denver beats Colorado College |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | ||
| 16 of 16 | 100% | 19 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 59 | 97% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 16 | 94% | 18 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 56 | 83% | 17% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 16 | 88% | 17 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 53 | 55% | 42% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 16 | 81% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 50 | 24% | 54% | 21% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 16 | 75% | 15 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 4% | 36% | 47% | 12% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 16 | 69% | 14 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 44 | <1% | 8% | 43% | 41% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 16 | 63% | 13 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 41 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 47% | 35% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 16 | 56% | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 38 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 50% | 26% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 16 | 50% | 11 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 35 | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 31% | 51% | 15% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 16 | 44% | 10 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 32 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 48% | 41% | 2% | <1% |
| 6 of 16 | 38% | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 29 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 26% | 62% | 11% | <1% |
| 5 of 16 | 31% | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 26 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 63% | 29% | <1% |
| 4 of 16 | 25% | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 23 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 47% | 51% | <1% |
| 3 of 16 | 19% | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 20 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 26% | 74% | <1% |
| 2 of 16 | 13% | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 9% | 88% | 3% |
| 1 of 16 | 6% | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 85% | 14% |
| 0 of 16 | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 60% | 40% |