The Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Nebraska-Omaha plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 19% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 20% | 26% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 33% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Nebraska-Omaha Sweeps | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 11% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 20% | 26% |
| St. Cloud State Sweeps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 22% | 42% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 19% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 20% | 26% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 33% |
|
Best Case Scenario Nebraska-Omaha beats St. Cloud State |
Worst Case Scenario St. Cloud State beats Nebraska-Omaha |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 14 of 14 | 100% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 51 | 30% | 63% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 14 | 93% | 16 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 48 | 11% | 59% | 28% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 14 | 86% | 15 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 2% | 37% | 50% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 14 | 79% | 14 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 42 | <1% | 12% | 50% | 34% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 14 | 71% | 13 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 39 | <1% | 2% | 24% | 53% | 21% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 14 | 64% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 36 | X | <1% | 4% | 35% | 47% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 14 | 57% | 11 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 33 | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 41% | 42% | 9% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 14 | 50% | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 30 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 11% | 44% | 37% | 8% | <1% |
| 6 of 14 | 43% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 27 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 46% | 34% | 5% |
| 5 of 14 | 36% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 19% | 53% | 27% |
| 4 of 14 | 29% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 34% | 63% |
| 3 of 14 | 21% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 10% | 89% |
| 2 of 14 | 14% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% |
| 1 of 14 | 7% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 14 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |