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Sun Feb 25 9:00 am

NCHC Hockey - Week 22 of 23

Nebraska-Omaha What If?

The Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Nebraska-Omaha plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nebraska-Omaha What If?

Next Game - Miami (7‑20‑3)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 5 8 0 8 31 X X <1% 4% 18% 77% <1% ^
Current Standings 4 8 0 8 28 X X <1% 3% 15% 81% 1% ^
Lose Next Game 4 8 0 9 28 X X X <1% 4% 94% 2% ^


Current Series - Miami (7‑20‑3) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Nebraska-Omaha Sweeps 6 8 0 8 34 X X <1% 5% 23% 72% ^ ^
Current Standings 4 8 0 8 28 X X <1% 3% 15% 81% 1% ^
Miami Sweeps 4 8 0 10 28 X X X X 1% 95% 4% ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario X X <1% 4% 18% 77% <1% ^
Current Standings X X <1% 3% 15% 81% 1% ^
Worst Case Scenario X X X <1% 4% 94% 2% ^
Best Case Scenario
   Nebraska-Omaha beats Miami
Worst Case Scenario
   Miami beats Nebraska-Omaha
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
4 of 4 100% 8 8 0 8 40 X X <1% 25% 52% 23% ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 7 8 0 9 37 X X X 1% 24% 75% ^ ^
2 of 4 50% 6 8 0 10 34 X X X X 3% 97% ^ ^
1 of 4 25% 5 8 0 11 31 X X X X X 98% 2% ^
0 of 4 0% 4 8 0 12 28 X X X X X 89% 11% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament