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Sat Dec 13 3:30 am

NCHC Hockey - Week 11 of 22

North Dakota Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the North Dakota Fighting Sioux are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Sioux final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota Fighting Sioux fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

North Dakota Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5 6 7 8 NT
North Dakota
(13‑4)

vs
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(6‑9)

1 Game Remaining
6 North Dakota Sweeps 1 Game 44% 31% 17% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 41% 30% 18% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha Sweeps 1 Game 32% 31% 21% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Cloud State
(7‑10)

vs
Denver
(12‑5‑1)

1 Game Remaining
1 St. Cloud State Sweeps 1 Game 46% 27% 16% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 41% 30% 18% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Denver Sweeps 1 Game 39% 31% 19% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St.
(7‑9‑1)

vs
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(14‑5)

1 Game Remaining
1 Arizona St. Sweeps 1 Game 43% 32% 14% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 41% 30% 18% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth Sweeps 1 Game 40% 30% 19% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Colorado College
(8‑7‑2)

vs
Miami
(10‑6‑1)

1 Game Remaining
0 Colorado College Sweeps 1 Game 41% 30% 18% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 41% 30% 18% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Miami Sweeps 1 Game 41% 30% 18% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%


North Dakota Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5 6 7 8 NT
North Dakota
(13‑4)

vs
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(6‑9)
6 North Dakota Wins 44% 31% 17% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 41% 30% 18% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha Wins 32% 31% 21% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Cloud State
(7‑10)

vs
Denver
(12‑5‑1)
1 St. Cloud State Wins 46% 27% 16% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 41% 30% 18% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Denver Wins 39% 31% 19% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St.
(7‑9‑1)

vs
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(14‑5)
1 Arizona St. Wins 43% 32% 14% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 41% 30% 18% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth Wins 40% 30% 19% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Colorado College
(8‑7‑2)

vs
Miami
(10‑6‑1)
0 Colorado College Wins 41% 30% 18% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 41% 30% 18% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Miami Wins 41% 30% 18% 8% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament