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Sat Nov 14 1:45 am

NCHC Hockey - Week 7 of 22

North Dakota Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the North Dakota Fighting Sioux are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Sioux final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota Fighting Sioux fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

North Dakota Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
6 7 8 9 10
North Dakota
(6‑3‑1)

vs
St. Thomas
(4‑5)

1 Game Remaining
8 North Dakota Sweeps 1 Game 15% 17% 15% 13% 12% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 1%
St. Thomas Sweeps 1 Game 10% 14% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 5% 2%
Colorado College
(7‑3‑1)

vs
Western Michigan
(7‑2‑1)

1 Game Remaining
1 Colorado College Sweeps 1 Game 15% 15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Western Michigan Sweeps 1 Game 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 4% 2%
St. Cloud State
(3‑6‑1)

vs
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(8‑3‑2)

1 Game Remaining
0 St. Cloud State Sweeps 1 Game 15% 16% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth Sweeps 1 Game 14% 16% 15% 13% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Miami
(7‑4)

vs
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(4‑4‑1)

1 Game Remaining
0 Miami Sweeps 1 Game 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha Sweeps 1 Game 14% 16% 14% 12% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%


North Dakota Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
6 7 8 9 10
North Dakota
(6‑3‑1)

vs
St. Thomas
(4‑5)
8 North Dakota Wins 15% 17% 15% 13% 12% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 1%
St. Thomas Wins 10% 14% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 5% 2%
Colorado College
(7‑3‑1)

vs
Western Michigan
(7‑2‑1)
1 Colorado College Wins 15% 15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Western Michigan Wins 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 4% 2%
St. Cloud State
(3‑6‑1)

vs
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(8‑3‑2)
0 St. Cloud State Wins 15% 16% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth Wins 14% 16% 15% 13% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Miami
(7‑4)

vs
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(4‑4‑1)
0 Miami Wins 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha Wins 14% 16% 14% 12% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament