The North Dakota Fighting Sioux What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how North Dakota plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 5% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 16% | 6% | <1% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| North Dakota Sweeps | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 5% | <1% |
| St. Cloud State Sweeps | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 16% | 6% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 5% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 16% | 6% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario North Dakota beats St. Cloud State |
Worst Case Scenario St. Cloud State beats North Dakota |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | ||
| 17 of 17 | 100% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 66 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 17 | 94% | 21 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 63 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 17 | 88% | 20 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 60 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 17 | 82% | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 57 | 93% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 17 | 76% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 54 | 70% | 29% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 17 | 71% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 51 | 33% | 55% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 17 | 65% | 16 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 48 | 7% | 45% | 43% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 17 | 59% | 15 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 45 | <1% | 13% | 50% | 33% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 17 | 53% | 14 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 42 | <1% | 1% | 20% | 50% | 26% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 17 | 47% | 13 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 39 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 28% | 51% | 17% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 7 of 17 | 41% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 36 | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 42% | 46% | 7% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 17 | 35% | 11 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 33 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 56% | 28% | 1% | <1% |
| 5 of 17 | 29% | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 30 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 36% | 52% | 9% | <1% |
| 4 of 17 | 24% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 27 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 14% | 59% | 27% | <1% |
| 3 of 17 | 18% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 44% | 53% | <1% |
| 2 of 17 | 12% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 22% | 78% | <1% |
| 1 of 17 | 6% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 93% | 1% |
| 0 of 17 | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 95% | 5% |