PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Feb 4 11:45 pm

NCHC Hockey - Week 20 of 23

St. Cloud State What If?

The St. Cloud State Huskies What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how St. Cloud State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

St. Cloud State What If?

Next Game - North Dakota (12‑11‑4)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 10 3 0 6 36 7% 32% 29% 31% 1% <1% <1% ^
Current Standings 9 3 0 6 33 5% 26% 28% 36% 5% 1% <1% ^
Lose Next Game 9 4 0 6 33 1% 17% 29% 44% 8% 1% <1% ^


Current Series - North Dakota (12‑11‑4) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
St. Cloud State Sweeps 11 3 0 6 39 11% 38% 28% 23% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 9 3 0 6 33 5% 26% 28% 36% 5% 1% <1% ^
North Dakota Sweeps 9 5 0 6 33 <1% 8% 24% 50% 16% 2% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 4% 26% 29% 37% 3% <1% <1% ^
Current Standings 5% 26% 28% 36% 5% 1% <1% ^
Worst Case Scenario 8% 26% 27% 32% 7% 1% <1% ^
Best Case Scenario
   Denver beats North Dakota
Worst Case Scenario
   North Dakota beats Denver
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
6 of 6 100% 15 3 0 6 51 36% 62% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 6 83% 14 4 0 6 48 8% 59% 29% 3% ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 6 67% 13 5 0 6 45 1% 23% 50% 27% ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 6 50% 12 6 0 6 42 <1% 3% 29% 67% 1% ^ ^ ^
2 of 6 33% 11 7 0 6 39 <1% <1% 5% 81% 13% <1% <1% ^
1 of 6 17% 10 8 0 6 36 X <1% <1% 46% 47% 6% <1% ^
0 of 6 0% 9 9 0 6 33 X X X 5% 41% 51% 3% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament