The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Fair. Dickinson (10‑15) vs Chicago St. (4‑21) |
0 | Fair. Dickinson Wins | 1% | 12% | 37% | 29% | 14% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 38% | 28% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chicago St. Wins | 1% | 14% | 43% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wagner (12‑12) vs Le Moyne (7‑18) |
0 | Wagner Wins | 1% | 13% | 38% | 27% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 38% | 28% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Le Moyne Wins | 1% | 13% | 37% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stonehill (12‑13) vs St. Francis (8‑15) |
0 | Stonehill Wins | 1% | 12% | 40% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 38% | 28% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Francis Wins | 1% | 12% | 36% | 28% | 15% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mercyhurst (13‑14) vs Central Conn. (17‑6) |
0 | Mercyhurst Wins | 4% | 31% | 43% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 38% | 28% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Central Conn. Wins | <1% | 8% | 38% | 30% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||