The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Mercyhurst (1‑3) vs New Haven (1‑2) |
12 | Mercyhurst Wins | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | ||
| New Haven Wins | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Le Moyne (1‑2) vs Long Island U. (0‑5) |
1 | Le Moyne Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Long Island U. Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Wagner (1‑3) vs Stonehill (1‑2) |
1 | Wagner Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Stonehill Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Central Conn. (2‑2) vs Chicago St. (2‑3) |
0 | Central Conn. Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Chicago St. Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||