The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Mercyhurst (4‑8) vs Fair. Dickinson (2‑8) |
15 | Mercyhurst Wins | 5% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | ||
| New Haven (5‑6) vs Stonehill (3‑9) |
2 | New Haven Wins | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Stonehill Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Le Moyne (5‑6) vs St. Francis (2‑10) |
1 | Le Moyne Wins | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| St. Francis Wins | 4% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Long Island U. (5‑5) vs Central Conn. (6‑5) |
1 | Long Island U. Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Central Conn. Wins | 5% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Wagner (4‑6) vs Chicago St. (2‑9) |
0 | Wagner Wins | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Chicago St. Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||