The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Long Island U. (1‑6) vs Wagner (3‑4) |
0 | Long Island U. Wins | 25% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Wagner Wins | 24% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Central Conn. (3‑4) vs Stonehill (1‑8) |
0 | Central Conn. Wins | 24% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Stonehill Wins | 24% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart (4‑5) vs St. Francis (PA) (4‑5) |
0 | Sacred Heart Wins | 24% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| St. Francis (PA) Wins | 24% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Merrimack (4‑5) vs Fair. Dickinson (5‑5) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | 26% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Fair. Dickinson Wins | 17% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | ^ | ||