The Most Important Games for the Wagner Seahawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Seahawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Wagner Seahawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Wagner Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Wagner (9‑15) vs Mercyhurst (13‑14) |
13 | Wagner Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 44% | 22% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 40% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Mercyhurst Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 6% | 39% | 33% | 21% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson (10‑17) vs Chicago St. (6‑21) |
9 | Fair. Dickinson Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 44% | 31% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 40% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Chicago St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 36% | 26% | 22% | ||
| Long Island U. (17‑9) vs St. Francis (6‑20) |
6 | Long Island U. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 42% | 27% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 40% | 29% | 18% | ||
| St. Francis Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 29% | 38% | 22% | ||
| Le Moyne (14‑13) vs Central Conn. (15‑10) |
1 | Le Moyne Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 11% | 39% | 28% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 40% | 29% | 18% | ||
| Central Conn. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 40% | 30% | 18% | ||
| Stonehill (9‑18) vs New Haven (11‑15) |
0 | Stonehill Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 30% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 40% | 29% | 18% | ||
| New Haven Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 38% | 28% | 19% | ||