The Most Important Games for the Morehead St. Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Morehead St. Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Morehead St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Morehead St. (7‑9) vs SE Missouri St. (8‑7) |
36 | Morehead St. Wins | 3% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 13% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Southern Indiana (3‑12) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (12‑4) |
4 | Southern Indiana Wins | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Western Illinois (4‑12) vs Tennessee Tech (6‑10) |
2 | Western Illinois Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Tennessee Tech Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Tennessee St. (10‑5) vs Eastern Illinois (5‑9) |
0 | Tennessee St. Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Lindenwood (9‑6) vs UALR (6‑9) |
0 | Lindenwood Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 13% | ||
| UALR Wins | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 14% | ||