The Most Important Games for the UALR Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UALR Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UALR Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Tennessee St. (7‑4) vs SE Missouri St. (4‑7) |
2 | Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 49% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 50% | ||
| Tennessee Tech (6‑6) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (8‑4) |
1 | Tennessee Tech Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 49% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 50% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (7‑5) vs Western Illinois (4‑8) |
0 | SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 49% | ||
| Western Illinois Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 50% | ||
| Morehead St. (4‑7) vs Southern Indiana (3‑8) |
0 | Morehead St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 49% | ||
| Southern Indiana Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 50% | ||