The Most Important Games for the UALR Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UALR Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UALR Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UALR (6‑4) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (6‑4) |
35 | UALR Wins | 31% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 8% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | ||
| Tennessee St. (3‑7) vs Southern Indiana (4‑5) |
2 | Tennessee St. Wins | 28% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Southern Indiana Wins | 26% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Morehead St. (3‑6) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (3‑7) |
2 | Morehead St. Wins | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 27% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Tennessee Tech (4‑6) vs Western Illinois (6‑4) |
1 | Tennessee Tech Wins | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Western Illinois Wins | 27% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| SE Missouri St. (3‑6) vs Eastern Illinois (3‑6) |
1 | SE Missouri St. Wins | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||