The Most Important Games for the UALR Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UALR Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UALR Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UALR (9‑15) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (15‑9) |
18 | UALR Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 38% | 21% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 37% | 27% | 15% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 39% | 32% | 19% | ||
| Eastern Illinois (9‑15) vs Tennessee Tech (10‑14) |
4 | Eastern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 36% | 29% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 37% | 27% | 15% | ||
| Tennessee Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 39% | 23% | 17% | ||
| Southern Indiana (5‑18) vs SE Missouri St. (14‑10) |
1 | Southern Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 36% | 27% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 37% | 27% | 15% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 38% | 27% | 15% | ||
| Western Illinois (4‑20) vs Tennessee St. (15‑8) |
1 | Western Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 38% | 26% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 37% | 27% | 15% | ||
| Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 38% | 27% | 15% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (19‑5) vs Morehead St. (12‑12) |
1 | Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 37% | 27% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 37% | 27% | 15% | ||
| Morehead St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 40% | 28% | 15% | ||