The Most Important Games for the Western Illinois Leathernecks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Leathernecks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Western Illinois Leathernecks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Western Illinois Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Western Illinois (6‑4) vs Tennessee Tech (4‑6) |
33 | Western Illinois Wins | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | ||
| Tennessee Tech Wins | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 26% | ||
| UALR (6‑4) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (6‑4) |
2 | UALR Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | ||
| Southern Indiana (4‑5) vs Tennessee St. (3‑7) |
1 | Southern Indiana Wins | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | ||
| Tennessee St. Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | ||
| Eastern Illinois (3‑6) vs SE Missouri St. (3‑6) |
1 | Eastern Illinois Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (3‑6) vs Morehead St. (3‑6) |
1 | Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | ||
| Morehead St. Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | ||