The Most Important Games for the Western Illinois Leathernecks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Leathernecks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Western Illinois Leathernecks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Western Illinois Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Western Illinois (4‑9) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (9‑4) |
15 | Western Illinois Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 69% | ||
| SE Missouri St. (5‑7) vs Eastern Illinois (4‑7) |
1 | SE Missouri St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 68% | ||
| Lindenwood (7‑5) vs Morehead St. (5‑7) |
0 | Lindenwood Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Morehead St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 68% | ||
| Tennessee St. (7‑5) vs Tennessee Tech (6‑7) |
0 | Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Tennessee Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 68% | ||
| Southern Indiana (3‑9) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (8‑5) |
0 | Southern Indiana Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 67% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 68% | ||