PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Dec 8 8:45 am

PAC 12 Basketball - Week 5 of 18

Arizona Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Arizona Wildcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wildcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arizona Wildcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Arizona Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Arizona Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Arizona
(7‑0)

vs
California
(3‑5)
8 Arizona Wins 27% 19% 14% 12% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 19% 14% 12% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
California Wins 20% 17% 15% 12% 11% 9% 6% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1%
Colorado
(6‑2)

vs
Washington
(5‑3)
1 Colorado Wins 26% 19% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 19% 14% 12% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Washington Wins 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
USC
(5‑3)

vs
Oregon
(5‑1)
0 USC Wins 27% 19% 14% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 19% 14% 12% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Oregon Wins 26% 19% 14% 12% 10% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Utah
(6‑2)

vs
Washington St.
(7‑1)
0 Utah Wins 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 19% 14% 12% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Washington St. Wins 27% 19% 14% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Stanford
(4‑4)

vs
Arizona St.
(6‑2)
0 Stanford Wins 27% 19% 14% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 19% 14% 12% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Arizona St. Wins 26% 19% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Oregon St.
(5‑3)

vs
UCLA
(5‑1)
0 Oregon St. Wins 27% 18% 15% 12% 10% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 19% 14% 12% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
UCLA Wins 27% 19% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament