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Thu Nov 30 4:00 am

PAC 12 Basketball - Week 4 of 18

Arizona St. Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Arizona St. Sun Devils are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Sun Devils final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arizona St. Sun Devils fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Arizona St. Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Arizona St. Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Arizona St.
(4‑2)

vs
Stanford
(3‑4)
8 Arizona St. Wins 11% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 6% 3% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Stanford Wins 7% 9% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 10% 9% 8% 6% 3%
Oregon
(4‑1)

vs
USC
(5‑2)
1 Oregon Wins 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 4% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
USC Wins 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Washington
(4‑2)

vs
Colorado
(5‑2)
1 Washington Wins 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Colorado Wins 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Oregon St.
(3‑3)

vs
UCLA
(4‑1)
1 Oregon St. Wins 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
UCLA Wins 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Washington St.
(5‑1)

vs
Utah
(4‑2)
0 Washington St. Wins 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Utah Wins 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
California
(2‑5)

vs
Arizona
(6‑0)
0 California Wins 11% 11% 11% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3%
Current Probabilities 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Arizona Wins 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament