The Most Important Games for the Texas State Bobcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bobcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas State Bobcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Texas State (0‑0) vs Colorado St. (0‑0) |
50 | Texas State Wins | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 8% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Boise St. (0‑0) vs Utah St. (0‑0) |
5 | Boise St. Wins | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Fresno St. (0‑0) vs Washington St. (0‑0) |
5 | Fresno St. Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | ||
| Oregon St. (0‑0) vs San Diego St. (0‑0) |
2 | Oregon St. Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | ||