The Most Important Games for the Boise State Broncos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Boise State Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Boise State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||||||
| Boise State (6‑1) vs Texas St. (4‑3) |
28 | Boise State Wins | 69% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | |||||
| Texas St. Wins | 35% | 29% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | |||||
| Fresno State (4‑3) vs Oregon St. (5‑2) |
2 | Fresno State Wins | 62% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | |||||
| Oregon St. Wins | 56% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | |||||