The Boise State Broncos What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Boise State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 0 | 69% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 3 | 0 | 58% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 1 | 35% | 29% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 69% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 58% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 35% | 29% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Boise State beats Texas St. |
Worst Case Scenario Texas St. beats Boise State |
|||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 7 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 6 | 1 | 77% | 23% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 5 | 2 | 16% | 48% | 33% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 4 | 3 | <1% | 4% | 32% | 44% | 17% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 3 | 4 | X | X | X | 14% | 40% | 37% | 9% | ^ |