The Most Important Games for the Fresno State Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fresno State Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fresno State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||||||
| Fresno State (4‑3) vs Oregon St. (5‑2) |
14 | Fresno State Wins | 1% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 21% | 18% | <1% | |||
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 1% | |||||
| Oregon St. Wins | X | <1% | 5% | 15% | 24% | 29% | 26% | 1% | |||||
| Texas St. (4‑3) vs Boise State (6‑1) |
0 | Texas St. Wins | 1% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 26% | 24% | 1% | |||
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 1% | |||||
| Boise State Wins | <1% | 9% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 1% | |||||