The Texas St. Bobcats What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Texas St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 1 | 30% | 22% | 23% | 12% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 2 | 1 | 11% | 19% | 18% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 2 | <1% | 19% | 19% | 30% | 18% | 9% | 4% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 30% | 22% | 23% | 12% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 11% | 19% | 18% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 19% | 19% | 30% | 18% | 9% | 4% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Texas St. beats Boise State |
Worst Case Scenario Boise State beats Texas St. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 6 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 5 | 2 | 14% | 61% | 24% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 4 | 3 | <1% | 6% | 32% | 46% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 3 | 4 | X | X | 1% | 24% | 47% | 25% | 3% | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | 12% | 34% | 52% | 2% |