Holy Cross Crusaders What If?

	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
	W	L	1^* First Round Bye	2^* First Round Bye	3^* First Round Bye	4^* First Round Bye	5^* First Round Bye	6^* First Round Bye	7^** First Round Home Field Advantage	8^** First Round Home Field Advantage	9	10
Win Next Game	1	0	18%	15%	14%	12%	11%	10%	9%	6%	5%	2%
Current Standings	0	0	16%	14%	13%	11%	11%	10%	9%	8%	6%	3%
Lose Next Game	0	1	12%	12%	13%	12%	11%	11%	10%	9%	7%	4%

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First Round Bye	2^* First Round Bye	3^* First Round Bye	4^* First Round Bye	5^* First Round Bye	6^* First Round Bye	7^** First Round Home Field Advantage	8^** First Round Home Field Advantage	9	10
Best Case Scenario	18%	15%	14%	12%	11%	10%	9%	6%	5%	2%
Current Standings	16%	14%	13%	11%	11%	10%	9%	8%	6%	3%
Worst Case Scenario	12%	12%	13%	12%	11%	11%	10%	9%	7%	4%
Best Case Scenario Holy Cross beats Loyola-MD						Worst Case Scenario Loyola-MD beats Holy Cross

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First Round Bye	2^* First Round Bye	3^* First Round Bye	4^* First Round Bye	5^* First Round Bye	6^* First Round Bye	7^** First Round Home Field Advantage	8^** First Round Home Field Advantage	9	10
18 of 18	100%	18	0	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
17 of 18	94%	17	1	>99%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
16 of 18	89%	16	2	98%	2%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
15 of 18	83%	15	3	88%	12%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
14 of 18	78%	14	4	64%	34%	2%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^
13 of 18	72%	13	5	31%	52%	16%	1%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
12 of 18	67%	12	6	8%	40%	41%	11%	1%	<1%	^	^	^	^
11 of 18	61%	11	7	1%	12%	41%	36%	9%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^
10 of 18	56%	10	8	<1%	1%	14%	41%	34%	9%	1%	<1%	^	^
9 of 18	50%	9	9	X	<1%	1%	14%	41%	35%	9%	1%	<1%	^
8 of 18	44%	8	10	X	X	<1%	1%	12%	40%	35%	11%	1%	<1%
7 of 18	39%	7	11	X	X	X	<1%	1%	13%	40%	35%	10%	1%
6 of 18	33%	6	12	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	15%	43%	35%	7%
5 of 18	28%	5	13	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	2%	20%	50%	28%
4 of 18	22%	4	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	4%	37%	58%
3 of 18	17%	3	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	14%	85%
2 of 18	11%	2	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	3%	97%
1 of 18	6%	1	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	>99%
0 of 18	0%	0	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament

Patriot League Basketball - Week 6 of 17