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Sun Nov 1 12:30 am

SEC Football - Week 10 of 13

Auburn Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Auburn Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Auburn Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Auburn Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Auburn Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Missouri
(6‑2)

vs
Texas
(6‑2)
0 Missouri Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 14% 17% 21% 16% 11% 2%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 14% 17% 20% 15% 11% 2%
Texas Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 14% 16% 19% 15% 11% 2%
Auburn
(4‑4)

vs
Arkansas
(3‑5)
0 Auburn Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 10% 16% 20% 23% 11% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 14% 17% 20% 15% 11% 2%
Arkansas Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 14% 16% 22% 28% 4%
South Carolina
(5‑3)

vs
Texas A&M
(4‑4)
0 South Carolina Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 9% 14% 18% 20% 14% 10% 1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 14% 17% 20% 15% 11% 2%
Texas A&M Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 15% 18% 15% 15% 2%
LSU
(6‑2)

vs
Alabama
(6‑2)
0 LSU Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 3% 5% 8% 14% 17% 19% 15% 11% 2%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 14% 17% 20% 15% 11% 2%
Alabama Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 9% 13% 18% 19% 15% 11% 2%
Mississippi St.Miss. St.
(4‑4)

vs
Vanderbilt
(3‑5)
0 Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 8% 13% 19% 20% 15% 11% 1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 14% 17% 20% 15% 11% 2%
Vanderbilt Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 10% 14% 14% 18% 15% 12% 3%
Tennessee
(6‑2)

vs
Kentucky
(7‑1)
0 Tennessee Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 13% 17% 20% 15% 12% 2%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 14% 17% 20% 15% 11% 2%
Kentucky Wins X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 8% 14% 17% 19% 16% 11% 2%
Ole Miss
(6‑2)

vs
Georgia
(7‑1)
0 Ole Miss Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 9% 14% 17% 20% 15% 11% 2%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 14% 17% 20% 15% 11% 2%
Georgia Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 13% 17% 20% 15% 11% 2%
Florida
(5‑3)

vs
Oklahoma
(4‑4)
0 Florida Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 14% 19% 18% 14% 11% 1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 14% 17% 20% 15% 11% 2%
Oklahoma Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 11% 15% 21% 17% 13% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant