The Auburn Tigers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Auburn plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Win Next Game | 1 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 27% | 17% |
Current Standings | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 24% | 43% |
Lose Next Game | 0 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 24% | 47% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 24% | 43% |
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
5 of 5 | 100% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 27% | 25% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 5 | 80% | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 26% | 26% | 17% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 5 | 60% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 26% | 28% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
2 of 5 | 40% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 25% | 33% | 24% | 7% |
1 of 5 | 20% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 43% | 42% |
0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 16% | 84% |