The Auburn Tigers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Auburn plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
Win Next Game | 1 | 2 | 4% | 12% | 18% | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% |
Current Standings | 0 | 2 | 3% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 16% |
Lose Next Game | 0 | 3 | <1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 30% | 27% | 19% |
Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
Best Case Scenario | 3% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 17% |
Current Standings | 3% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 16% |
Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 16% |
Best Case Scenario Alabama beats Texas A&M |
Worst Case Scenario Texas A&M beats Alabama |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
6 of 6 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 35% | 56% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 6 | 83% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 36% | 45% | 14% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
4 of 6 | 67% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 28% | 46% | 21% | 1% | <1% |
3 of 6 | 50% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | 2% | 21% | 53% | 23% | 1% |
2 of 6 | 33% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 20% | 56% | 22% |
1 of 6 | 17% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 18% | 81% |
0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |