PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Nov 1 11:30 pm

SEC Football - Week 11 of 14

Texas A&M What If?

The Texas A&M Aggies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas A&M What If?

Next Game - Missouri (6‑2)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 6 0 54% 25% 14% 6% 1% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 5 0 43% 26% 15% 8% 4% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 5 1 13% 28% 23% 14% 10% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Best Case Scenario 77% 15% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 43% 26% 15% 8% 4% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario 9% 25% 25% 16% 12% 9% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Mississippi St. beats Georgia
   Texas A&M beats Missouri
   LSU beats Alabama
Worst Case Scenario
   Georgia beats Mississippi St.
   Missouri beats Texas A&M
   Alabama beats LSU
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
3 of 3 100% 8 0 80% 20% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 3 67% 7 1 20% 38% 31% 11% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 3 33% 6 2 1% 9% 24% 23% 26% 14% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 3 0% 5 3 X <1% <1% 3% 11% 22% 39% 22% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant