The Texas A&M Aggies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Win Next Game | 5 | 0 | 47% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 4 | 0 | 36% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 1 | 11% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Best Case Scenario | 63% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 36% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | 9% | 21% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Oklahoma beats Ole Miss South Carolina beats Alabama Texas A&M beats LSU |
Worst Case Scenario Ole Miss beats Oklahoma Alabama beats South Carolina LSU beats Texas A&M |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
4 of 4 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 84% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 4 | 75% | 7 | 1 | 28% | 41% | 24% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 4 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 2% | 14% | 25% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 4 | 25% | 5 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 27% | 28% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 4 | 0% | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 10% | 21% | 31% | 27% | 8% | 1% | <1% | X | <1% | ^ |