PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 19 12:00 am

SEC Football - Week 9 of 14

Texas A&M What If?

The Texas A&M Aggies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas A&M What If?

Next Game - LSU (5‑2)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 5 0 47% 25% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 4 0 36% 24% 15% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Lose Next Game 4 1 11% 23% 21% 16% 13% 6% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Best Case Scenario 63% 19% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 36% 24% 15% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Worst Case Scenario 9% 21% 23% 17% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Oklahoma beats Ole Miss
   South Carolina beats Alabama
   Texas A&M beats LSU
Worst Case Scenario
   Ole Miss beats Oklahoma
   Alabama beats South Carolina
   LSU beats Texas A&M
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
4 of 4 100% 8 0 84% 16% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 7 1 28% 41% 24% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 4 50% 6 2 2% 14% 25% 28% 22% 7% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 4 25% 5 3 <1% <1% 2% 8% 18% 27% 28% 14% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 4 0% 4 4 X X X X <1% 3% 10% 21% 31% 27% 8% 1% <1% X <1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant