PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 14 1:15 am

SEC Football - Week 4 of 14

Texas A&M What If?

The Texas A&M Aggies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas A&M What If?

Next Game - Auburn (3‑0)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 1 0 14% 12% 10% 9% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 0 0 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2%
Lose Next Game 0 1 3% 6% 7% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Best Case Scenario 11% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2%
Current Standings 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2%
Worst Case Scenario 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Best Case Scenario
   Missouri beats South Carolina
   Auburn beats Oklahoma
Worst Case Scenario
   South Carolina beats Missouri
   Oklahoma beats Auburn
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
8 of 8 100% 8 0 85% 14% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 8 88% 7 1 35% 41% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 8 75% 6 2 2% 14% 31% 31% 17% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 8 63% 5 3 <1% <1% 2% 10% 25% 31% 22% 9% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 8 50% 4 4 X X X <1% 1% 5% 16% 28% 28% 16% 5% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
3 of 8 38% 3 5 X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 9% 22% 28% 25% 12% 3% <1% <1%
2 of 8 25% 2 6 X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 15% 27% 31% 18% 3%
1 of 8 13% 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 14% 34% 48%
0 of 8 0% 0 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 10% 90%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant