The Most Important Games for the Texas Longhorns are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Longhorns final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas Longhorns fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (5‑6) vs Ole Miss (10‑1) |
0 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | X | X | 2% | 12% | 18% | 29% | 38% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 5% | 29% | 27% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 33% | 26% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas (8‑3) vs Texas A&M (11‑0) |
0 | Texas Wins | X | X | 1% | 15% | 77% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 5% | 29% | 27% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 38% | 58% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas (2‑9) vs Missouri (7‑4) |
0 | Arkansas Wins | X | X | <1% | 5% | 29% | 27% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 5% | 29% | 27% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri Wins | X | X | <1% | 5% | 29% | 27% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma (9‑2) vs LSU (7‑4) |
0 | Oklahoma Wins | X | X | <1% | 5% | 28% | 18% | 50% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 5% | 29% | 27% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LSU Wins | X | X | 1% | 6% | 35% | 49% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee (8‑3) vs Vanderbilt (9‑2) |
0 | Tennessee Wins | X | X | <1% | 6% | 32% | 34% | 28% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 5% | 29% | 27% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | X | X | <1% | 4% | 26% | 22% | 47% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn (5‑6) vs Alabama (9‑2) |
0 | Auburn Wins | X | X | 2% | 12% | 18% | 31% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 5% | 29% | 27% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Alabama Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 34% | 26% | 37% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||