The Most Important Games for the Texas Longhorns are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Longhorns final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas Longhorns fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Texas (7‑2) vs LSU (6‑3) |
39 | Texas Wins | 6% | 33% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LSU Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 21% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida (5‑4) vs Kentucky (7‑2) |
14 | Florida Wins | 4% | 29% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kentucky Wins | 3% | 16% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M (4‑5) vs Tennessee (7‑2) |
8 | Texas A&M Wins | 5% | 25% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 3% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Missouri (6‑3) vs Georgia (8‑1) |
6 | Missouri Wins | 11% | 16% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Wins | <1% | 21% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vanderbilt (4‑5) vs Alabama (7‑2) |
2 | Vanderbilt Wins | 3% | 23% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alabama Wins | 4% | 20% | 12% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas (3‑6) vs South Carolina (6‑3) |
2 | Arkansas Wins | 4% | 21% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Carolina Wins | 4% | 20% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss (6‑3) vs Oklahoma (5‑4) |
1 | Ole Miss Wins | 3% | 20% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma Wins | 4% | 19% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (4‑5) vs Auburn (5‑4) |
0 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 4% | 20% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Auburn Wins | 3% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||