PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Southern Basketball - Week 14 of 16

Chattanooga Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Chattanooga Mocs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mocs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chattanooga Mocs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Chattanooga Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Chattanooga Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10
ChattanoogaChattan.
(12‑13)

vs
Citadel
(9‑16)
29 ChattanoogaChattan. Wins X X <1% 9% 19% 25% 21% 18% 7% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 7% 16% 21% 20% 19% 16% 1%
Citadel Wins X X X 2% 8% 13% 18% 22% 34% 2%
N.C. Greensboro
(16‑9)

vs
E. Tennessee St.
(9‑16)
7 N.C. Greensboro Wins X X <1% 8% 16% 21% 20% 19% 16% 1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 7% 16% 21% 20% 19% 16% 1%
E. Tennessee St. Wins X X <1% 6% 13% 18% 19% 23% 20% 1%
Samford
(16‑9)

vs
Mercer
(12‑13)
7 Samford Wins X X <1% 7% 17% 22% 20% 18% 15% 1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 7% 16% 21% 20% 19% 16% 1%
Mercer Wins X X <1% 7% 15% 18% 20% 21% 18% 1%
Western Carolina
(13‑12)

vs
Wofford
(13‑12)
1 Western Carolina Wins X X <1% 6% 18% 21% 20% 19% 16% 1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 7% 16% 21% 20% 19% 16% 1%
Wofford Wins X X <1% 9% 13% 21% 20% 20% 16% 1%
VMI
(6‑19)

vs
Furman
(19‑6)
1 VMI Wins X X <1% 8% 16% 21% 19% 18% 15% 3%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 7% 16% 21% 20% 19% 16% 1%
Furman Wins X X <1% 7% 16% 21% 20% 19% 17% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament