The Most Important Games for the Incarnate Word Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Incarnate Word Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Incarnate Word Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Incarnate Word (11‑13) vs Lamar (7‑17) |
13 | Incarnate Word Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 51% | 16% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 46% | 18% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Lamar Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 7% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (16‑8) vs Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (11‑13) |
1 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 45% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 46% | 18% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 50% | 20% | 7% | 3% | ||
| New Orleans (6‑16) vs Nicholls St. (11‑11) |
1 | New Orleans Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 41% | 18% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 46% | 18% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 48% | 19% | 7% | 3% | ||
| SE Louisiana (14‑10) vs McNeese (5‑19) |
0 | SE Louisiana Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 47% | 18% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 46% | 18% | 7% | 3% | ||
| McNeese Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 44% | 18% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Houston Christian (7‑17) vs Texas A&M C.C. (15‑9) |
0 | Houston Christian Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 40% | 22% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 46% | 18% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 48% | 17% | 6% | 3% | ||