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Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Southland Basketball - Week 14 of 17

Incarnate Word Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Incarnate Word Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Incarnate Word Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Incarnate Word Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Incarnate Word Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Incarnate Word
(11‑13)

vs
Lamar
(7‑17)
13 Incarnate Word Wins <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 51% 16% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 46% 18% 7% 3%
Lamar Wins <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 40% 24% 13% 7%
Northwestern St.NWestrn St
(16‑8)

vs
Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm
(11‑13)
1 Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 45% 17% 7% 3%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 46% 18% 7% 3%
Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins <1% <1% 1% 5% 13% 50% 20% 7% 3%
New Orleans
(6‑16)

vs
Nicholls St.
(11‑11)
1 New Orleans Wins <1% <1% 1% 8% 19% 41% 18% 9% 4%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 46% 18% 7% 3%
Nicholls St. Wins <1% <1% 1% 5% 17% 48% 19% 7% 3%
SE Louisiana
(14‑10)

vs
McNeese
(5‑19)
0 SE Louisiana Wins <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 47% 18% 7% 3%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 46% 18% 7% 3%
McNeese Wins <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 44% 18% 8% 4%
Houston Christian
(7‑17)

vs
Texas A&M C.C.
(15‑9)
0 Houston Christian Wins <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 40% 22% 8% 4%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 46% 18% 7% 3%
Texas A&M C.C. Wins <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 48% 17% 6% 3%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament