Where are the Incarnate Word Cardinals going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Incarnate Word standings table presents the probabilities of the Cardinals winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Texas A&M C.C. | 8i Texas A&M C.C. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Nicholls St. 96-86 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs McNeese 83-72 Won Thu, Feb 02 @ N. Orleans 86-69 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ SE Louisiana 83-72 Thu, Feb 09 vs H. Christian Sat, Feb 11 vs Lamar Thu, Feb 16 @ Nicholls St. Sat, Feb 18 @ McNeese |
3 | 11 | 32% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St | 8 Northwestern St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs H. Christian 82-63 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Lamar 80-65 Won Thu, Feb 02 @ H. Christian 94-76 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ Lamar 72-68 Thu, Feb 09 @ TX A&M-Comm Sat, Feb 11 vs TX A&M-Comm Thu, Feb 16 vs SE Louisiana Sat, Feb 18 vs N. Orleans |
3 | 11 | 42% | 25% | 18% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SE Louisiana | 8 SE Louisiana Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs N. Orleans 92-87 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ N. Orleans 80-64 Won Thu, Feb 02 vs Incarnate W. 77-67 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs TX A&M C.C. 72-83 Thu, Feb 09 @ McNeese Sat, Feb 11 vs Nicholls St. Thu, Feb 16 @ NWestrn St Sat, Feb 18 @ TX A&M-Comm |
3 | 11 | 16% | 25% | 28% | 22% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm | 7 Texas A&M-Commerce Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ SE Louisiana 73-79 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Lamar 62-57 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs H. Christian 77-76 Won Sat, Feb 04 vs McNeese 60-58 Thu, Feb 09 vs NWestrn St Sat, Feb 11 @ NWestrn St Thu, Feb 16 vs N. Orleans Sat, Feb 18 vs SE Louisiana |
3 | 10 | 4% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 41% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Nicholls St. | 6 Nicholls St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 21 @ McNeese 71-68 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ TX A&M C.C. 86-96 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Incarnate W. 67-69 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ H. Christian 92-91 Thu, Feb 09 vs N. Orleans Sat, Feb 11 @ SE Louisiana Thu, Feb 16 vs TX A&M C.C. Sat, Feb 18 vs Incarnate W. |
4 | 10 | 7% | 15% | 21% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Incarnate Word | 5 Incarnate Word Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs McNeese 70-65 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Nicholls St. 69-67 Lost Thu, Feb 02 @ SE Louisiana 67-77 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ N. Orleans 78-70 Thu, Feb 09 vs Lamar Sat, Feb 11 vs H. Christian Thu, Feb 16 @ McNeese Sat, Feb 18 @ Nicholls St. |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 46% | 18% | 7% | 3% |
| Houston Christian | 4 Houston Christian Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ NWestrn St 63-82 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ TX A&M-Comm 76-77 Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs NWestrn St 76-94 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Nicholls St. 91-92 Thu, Feb 09 @ TX A&M C.C. Sat, Feb 11 @ Incarnate W. Thu, Feb 16 @ Lamar Sat, Feb 18 vs Lamar |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 16% | 35% | 23% | 21% |
| New Orleans | 3 New Orleans Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ SE Louisiana 87-92 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs SE Louisiana 64-80 Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs TX A&M C.C. 69-86 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Incarnate W. 70-78 Thu, Feb 09 @ Nicholls St. Sat, Feb 11 vs McNeese Thu, Feb 16 @ TX A&M-Comm Sat, Feb 18 @ NWestrn St |
8 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 26% | 57% |
| Lamar | 3 Lamar Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs TX A&M-Comm 57-62 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ NWestrn St 65-80 Won Thu, Feb 02 @ McNeese 70-63 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs NWestrn St 68-72 Thu, Feb 09 @ Incarnate W. Sat, Feb 11 @ TX A&M C.C. Thu, Feb 16 vs H. Christian Sat, Feb 18 @ H. Christian |
8 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 23% | 51% |
| McNeese | 2 McNeese Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ Incarnate W. 65-70 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ TX A&M C.C. 72-83 Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Lamar 63-70 Lost Sat, Feb 04 @ TX A&M-Comm 58-60 Thu, Feb 09 vs SE Louisiana Sat, Feb 11 @ N. Orleans Thu, Feb 16 vs Incarnate W. Sat, Feb 18 vs TX A&M C.C. |
9 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 20% | 67% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 7% | ||
| (7)Houston Christian | 4 | 7 | 37% |
| (9)Lamar | 3 | 8 | 19% |
| (8)New Orleans | 3 | 8 | 14% |
| (10)McNeese | 2 | 9 | 10% |
| (4)Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm | 7 | 3 | 6% |
| (5)Nicholls St. | 6 | 4 | 3% |
| (3)SE Louisiana | 8 | 3 | 1% |
| (1)Texas A&M C.C. | 8 | 3 | 1% |
| (2)Northwestern St.NWestrn St | 8 | 3 | <1% |
| Elimination | 3% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (11‑13) |
74‑82 (OT) | Away | Sat Dec 31, 5:30 pm |
| 9 | Texas A&M C.C. (15‑9) |
61‑91 | Away | Wed Jan 4 |
| 9 | Texas A&M C.C. (15‑9) |
71‑80 | Home | Sat Jan 7, 5:00 pm |
| 10 | New Orleans (6‑16) |
79‑85 (OT) | Home | Thu Jan 12, 8:30 pm |
| 10 | SE Louisiana (14‑10) |
71‑75 | Home | Sat Jan 14, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Houston Christian (7‑17) |
89‑78 | Away | Thu Jan 19, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Lamar (7‑17) |
70‑64 | Away | Sat Jan 21, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | McNeese (5‑19) |
70‑65 | Home | Thu Jan 26, 8:30 pm |
| 12 | Nicholls St. (11‑11) |
69‑67 | Home | Sat Jan 28, 5:00 pm |
| 13 | SE Louisiana (14‑10) |
67‑77 | Away | Thu Feb 2, 8:30 pm |
| 13 | New Orleans (6‑16) |
78‑70 | Away | Sat Feb 4, 5:00 pm |
| 14 | Lamar (7‑17) |
Home | Thu Feb 9, 8:30 pm | |
| 14 | Houston Christian (7‑17) |
Home | Sat Feb 11, 5:00 pm | |
| 15 | McNeese (5‑19) |
Away | Thu Feb 16, 8:30 pm | |
| 15 | Nicholls St. (11‑11) |
Away | Sat Feb 18, 4:00 pm | |
| 16 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St (16‑8) |
Home | Thu Feb 23, 8:30 pm | |
| 16 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (11‑13) |
Home | Sat Feb 25, 5:00 pm | |
| 17 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St (16‑8) |
Away | Wed Mar 1, 9:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Dakota (8‑17) |
SummitSummit | 57‑65 | Home | Mon Nov 7 |
| 1 | UNLV (15‑8) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 63‑88 | Away | Sat Nov 12 |
| 2 | TEXAS LUTHERAN | ‑‑ | 84‑47 | Home | Tue Nov 15 |
| 2 | Valparaiso (10‑15) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 64‑68 | Away | Sat Nov 19 |
| 3 | OUR LADY OF THE LAKE | ‑‑ | 85‑76 | Home | Tue Nov 22 |
| 3 | Dartmouth (8‑15) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 69‑64 | Home | Fri Nov 25 |
| 3 | Grambling (14‑8) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 63‑61 | Away | Sun Nov 27 |
| 4 | Texas-San Antonio (7‑18) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 62‑68 | Away | Mon Nov 28 |
| 4 | DALLAS CHRISTIAN | ‑‑ | 112‑64 | Home | Wed Nov 30 |
| 4 | Grambling (14‑8) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 39‑72 | Away | Sat Dec 3 |
| 5 | Kansas St. (18‑5) |
Big 12Big 12 | 50‑98 | Away | Sun Dec 11, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (9‑14) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 77‑65 | Home | Fri Dec 16, 6:30 pm |
| 7 | FIU (12‑12) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 74‑79 | Away | Wed Dec 21, 7:00 pm |