PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 25 12:00 am

Southland Basketball - Week 17 of 18

Texas A&M-Commerce What If?

The Texas A&M-Commerce Lions What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M-Commerce plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas A&M-Commerce What If?

Next Game - Houston Christian (6‑19)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 5 11 X X X X X 11% 76% 12% 2%
Current Standings 4 11 X X X X X 6% 48% 33% 12%
Lose Next Game 4 12 X X X X X X 14% 61% 24%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario X X X X X 7% 49% 34% 10%
Current Standings X X X X X 6% 48% 33% 12%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X X 6% 48% 27% 19%
Best Case Scenario
   Nicholls St. beats Incarnate Word
Worst Case Scenario
   Incarnate Word beats Nicholls St.
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
3 of 3 100% 7 11 X X X X X 42% 58% <1% ^
2 of 3 67% 6 12 X X X X X X 80% 20% <1%
1 of 3 33% 5 13 X X X X X X 19% 65% 16%
0 of 3 0% 4 14 X X X X X X X 37% 63%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament