The Texas A&M C.C. Islanders What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M C.C. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 3 | 34% | 28% | 21% | 11% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 3 | 32% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 4 | 18% | 25% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 40% | 31% | 16% | 8% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 32% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 16% | 24% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario New Orleans beats Nicholls St. McNeese beats SE Louisiana Texas A&M C.C. beats Houston Christian |
Worst Case Scenario Nicholls St. beats New Orleans SE Louisiana beats McNeese Houston Christian beats Texas A&M C.C. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 15 | 3 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 14 | 4 | 89% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 13 | 5 | 44% | 49% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 12 | 6 | 7% | 42% | 43% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 11 | 7 | <1% | 7% | 41% | 42% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 10 | 8 | X | <1% | 7% | 42% | 48% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 9 | 9 | X | X | <1% | 7% | 61% | 29% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | 23% | 50% | 25% | 2% | <1% |