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Tue Feb 27 12:30 am

Southland Basketball - Week 17 of 18

Texas A&M C.C. What If?

The Texas A&M C.C. Islanders What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M C.C. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas A&M C.C. What If?

Next Game - SE Louisiana (14‑14)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 12 4 X 89% 11% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 11 4 X 80% 19% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 11 5 X 65% 33% 2% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario X 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings X 80% 19% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario X 14% 78% 7% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   McNeese beats Nicholls St.
   Texas A&M C.C. beats SE Louisiana
Worst Case Scenario
   Nicholls St. beats McNeese
   SE Louisiana beats Texas A&M C.C.
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
3 of 3 100% 14 4 X 92% 8% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 3 67% 13 5 X 82% 18% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 3 33% 12 6 X 40% 57% 3% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 3 0% 11 7 X 2% 39% 39% 20% ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament