PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Southland Basketball - Week 14 of 17

Texas A&M C.C. What If?

The Texas A&M C.C. Islanders What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M C.C. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas A&M C.C. What If?

Next Game - Houston Christian (7‑17)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 9 3 34% 28% 21% 11% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 8 3 32% 28% 21% 12% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 8 4 18% 25% 25% 18% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario 40% 31% 16% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 32% 28% 21% 12% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 16% 24% 26% 20% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   New Orleans beats Nicholls St.
   McNeese beats SE Louisiana
   Texas A&M C.C. beats Houston Christian
Worst Case Scenario
   Nicholls St. beats New Orleans
   SE Louisiana beats McNeese
   Houston Christian beats Texas A&M C.C.
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
7 of 7 100% 15 3 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 7 86% 14 4 89% 11% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 7 71% 13 5 44% 49% 7% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 7 57% 12 6 7% 42% 43% 7% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 7 43% 11 7 <1% 7% 41% 42% 9% <1% ^ ^ ^
2 of 7 29% 10 8 X <1% 7% 42% 48% 4% <1% ^ ^
1 of 7 14% 9 9 X X <1% 7% 61% 29% 2% <1% ^
0 of 7 0% 8 10 X X X <1% 23% 50% 25% 2% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament