The Texas A&M C.C. Islanders What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M C.C. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 1 | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 20% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 1 | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 25% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 2 | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 29% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 26% |
| Current Standings | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 25% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 25% |
|
Best Case Scenario New Orleans beats McNeese |
Worst Case Scenario McNeese beats New Orleans |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 18 of 18 | 100% | 19 | 1 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 18 | 94% | 18 | 2 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 18 | 89% | 17 | 3 | 91% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 18 | 83% | 16 | 4 | 72% | 27% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 18 | 78% | 15 | 5 | 41% | 47% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 18 | 72% | 14 | 6 | 15% | 45% | 32% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 18 | 67% | 13 | 7 | 3% | 21% | 42% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 18 | 61% | 12 | 8 | <1% | 3% | 21% | 40% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 18 | 56% | 11 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 39% | 29% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 9 of 18 | 50% | 10 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 37% | 33% | 12% | 1% |
| 8 of 18 | 44% | 9 | 11 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 12% | 34% | 35% | 17% |
| 7 of 18 | 39% | 8 | 12 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 59% |
| 6 of 18 | 33% | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 92% |
| 5 of 18 | 28% | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 4 of 18 | 22% | 5 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 18 | 17% | 4 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 2 of 18 | 11% | 3 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 1 of 18 | 6% | 2 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 18 | 0% | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |