The Alabama A&M Bulldogs What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Alabama A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 26% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 30% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 26% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 35% |
|
Best Case Scenario Alabama A&M beats Grambling Southern beats Alabama St. Bethune-Cookman beats Texas Southern |
Worst Case Scenario Grambling beats Alabama A&M Alabama St. beats Southern Texas Southern beats Bethune-Cookman |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 13 | 5 | 21% | 57% | 23% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 12 | 6 | 4% | 26% | 53% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 11 | 7 | <1% | 3% | 29% | 47% | 19% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 10 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 26% | 47% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 9 | 9 | X | X | <1% | 3% | 22% | 44% | 26% | 5% | <1% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 38% | 33% | 14% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 28% | 64% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |