PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Southwestern Basketball - Week 14 of 17

Alabama A&M What If?

The Alabama A&M Bulldogs What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Alabama A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Alabama A&M What If?

Next Game - Grambling (14‑8)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 6 5 <1% 1% 5% 11% 19% 21% 17% 12% 14%
Current Standings 5 5 <1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 17% 18% 15% 26%
Lose Next Game 5 6 <1% <1% 1% 5% 12% 17% 18% 17% 30%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 5% 11% 19% 21% 19% 12% 12%
Current Standings <1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 17% 18% 15% 26%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 5% 12% 14% 16% 16% 35%
Best Case Scenario
   Alabama A&M beats Grambling
   Southern beats Alabama St.
   Bethune-Cookman beats Texas Southern
Worst Case Scenario
   Grambling beats Alabama A&M
   Alabama St. beats Southern
   Texas Southern beats Bethune-Cookman
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
8 of 8 100% 13 5 21% 57% 23% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 8 88% 12 6 4% 26% 53% 16% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
6 of 8 75% 11 7 <1% 3% 29% 47% 19% 2% <1% ^ ^
5 of 8 63% 10 8 <1% <1% 3% 26% 47% 21% 2% <1% <1%
4 of 8 50% 9 9 X X <1% 3% 22% 44% 26% 5% <1%
3 of 8 38% 8 10 X X X <1% 1% 14% 38% 33% 14%
2 of 8 25% 7 11 X X X X <1% <1% 8% 28% 64%
1 of 8 13% 6 12 X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
0 of 8 0% 5 13 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament