PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Feb 27 12:30 am

Southwestern Basketball - Week 17 of 18

Alabama A&M What If?

The Alabama A&M Bulldogs What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Alabama A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Alabama A&M What If?

Next Game - Alabama St. (12‑15)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 8 7 <1% <1% 1% 6% 10% 19% 36% 19% 9%
Current Standings 7 7 <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 11% 21% 28% 31%
Lose Next Game 7 8 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 36% 48%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 5% 10% 19% 42% 19% 3%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 11% 21% 28% 31%
Worst Case Scenario X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 32% 54%
Best Case Scenario
   Alabama A&M beats Alabama St.
   Miss. Valley St. beats AR Pine Bluff
Worst Case Scenario
   Alabama St. beats Alabama A&M
   AR Pine Bluff beats Miss. Valley St.
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
4 of 4 100% 11 7 <1% 1% 10% 49% 29% 10% 1% ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 10 8 X <1% <1% 9% 25% 37% 27% 3% <1%
2 of 4 50% 9 9 X X X <1% 2% 13% 43% 39% 4%
1 of 4 25% 8 10 X X X X X <1% 6% 45% 49%
0 of 4 0% 7 11 X X X X X X X 6% 94%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament