The Most Important Games for the Alabama St. Hornets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hornets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama St. Hornets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Alabama St. (4‑6) vs Miss. Valley St. (2‑8) |
10 | Alabama St. Wins | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 18% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. Wins | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 22% | ||
| Florida A&M (3‑5) vs Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (2‑8) |
1 | Florida A&M Wins | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 18% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | 17% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Texas Southern (2‑7) vs Southern (5‑4) |
0 | Texas Southern Wins | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 18% | ||
| Southern Wins | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Grambling (2‑6) vs Prairie View A&M (1‑8) |
0 | Grambling Wins | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 18% | ||
| Prairie View A&M Wins | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 18% | ||
| Jackson St. (0‑10) vs Alcorn St. (0‑10) |
0 | Jackson St. Wins | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 18% | ||
| Alcorn St. Wins | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 18% | ||
| Alabama A&M (4‑5) vs AR Pine Bluff (2‑9) |
0 | Alabama A&M Wins | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 18% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff Wins | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 19% | ||