The Most Important Games for the Alabama St. Hornets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hornets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama St. Hornets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Alabama St. (3‑10) vs Miss. Valley St. (1‑13) |
20 | Alabama St. Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 23% | ||
| Alabama A&M (7‑6) vs AR Pine Bluff (3‑9) |
1 | Alabama A&M Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Florida A&M (1‑8) vs Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (3‑10) |
1 | Florida A&M Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Grambling (6‑7) vs Prairie View A&M (4‑8) |
1 | Grambling Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Prairie View A&M Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Alcorn St. (1‑11) vs Jackson St. (1‑12) |
0 | Alcorn St. Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Jackson St. Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Southern (4‑9) vs Texas Southern (2‑9) |
0 | Southern Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Texas Southern Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ||