The Most Important Games for the Alabama St. Hornets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hornets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama St. Hornets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Alabama St. (3‑4) vs Miss. Valley St. (0‑7) |
7 | Alabama St. Wins | 22% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. Wins | 15% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Prairie View A&M (4‑3) vs Grambling (2‑5) |
1 | Prairie View A&M Wins | 20% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Grambling Wins | 23% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Jackson St. (2‑6) vs Alcorn St. (1‑7) |
0 | Jackson St. Wins | 20% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Alcorn St. Wins | 21% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Florida A&M (0‑5) vs Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (3‑4) |
0 | Florida A&M Wins | 21% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | 20% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 12% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff (4‑4) vs Alabama A&M (1‑5) |
0 | AR Pine Bluff Wins | 20% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Alabama A&M Wins | 20% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Texas Southern (0‑7) vs Southern (1‑6) |
0 | Texas Southern Wins | 21% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Southern Wins | 21% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% | ||