PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jan 28 10:15 pm

Southwestern Basketball - Week 13 of 17

Alcorn St. What If?

The Alcorn St. Braves What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Alcorn St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Alcorn St. What If?

Next Game - Grambling (13‑7)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 7 2 22% 36% 19% 14% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 6 2 12% 25% 27% 20% 10% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Lose Next Game 6 3 4% 18% 32% 25% 12% 5% 2% 1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario 22% 36% 19% 14% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 12% 25% 27% 20% 10% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 18% 32% 25% 12% 5% 2% 1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Alcorn St. beats Grambling
Worst Case Scenario
   Grambling beats Alcorn St.
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
10 of 10 100% 16 2 79% 21% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 15 3 55% 44% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 14 4 26% 59% 15% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 10 70% 13 5 8% 44% 41% 7% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 10 60% 12 6 1% 17% 47% 32% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^
5 of 10 50% 11 7 <1% 3% 22% 51% 22% 2% <1% <1% ^
4 of 10 40% 10 8 <1% <1% 3% 28% 46% 20% 3% <1% <1%
3 of 10 30% 9 9 X X <1% 4% 25% 41% 24% 5% <1%
2 of 10 20% 8 10 X X X <1% 3% 17% 38% 31% 11%
1 of 10 10% 7 11 X X X X <1% 1% 9% 32% 59%
0 of 10 0% 6 12 X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament