The Most Important Games for the Southern Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Southern (5‑4) vs Texas Southern (2‑7) |
9 | Southern Wins | 26% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Texas Southern Wins | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Alcorn St. (0‑10) vs Jackson St. (0‑10) |
1 | Alcorn St. Wins | 24% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Jackson St. Wins | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Florida A&M (3‑5) vs Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (2‑7) |
1 | Florida A&M Wins | 24% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | 25% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Prairie View A&M (1‑8) vs Grambling (2‑6) |
1 | Prairie View A&M Wins | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Grambling Wins | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Alabama A&M (4‑5) vs AR Pine Bluff (2‑9) |
1 | Alabama A&M Wins | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff Wins | 24% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. (2‑8) vs Alabama St. (4‑6) |
0 | Miss. Valley St. Wins | 25% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Alabama St. Wins | 24% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 13% | ||